8 threats you will encounter in the city during the BP. 

Red Square after BP.
Artist mvn78 Futurology. Risks of our millennium // BRAINSTORMING BP

(
Big P-c
) is a term common among some Russian Internet communities, denoting a hypothetical event of a one-time or short-term disruption of the functioning of life support systems in Russia or throughout the world, resulting in the impossibility of restoring these systems in the long term, and associated with this event consequences. BP is usually understood as something less fatal and more pragmatic than the end of the world.

[edit] Relevance of the problem

The theme of BP has become widespread, superimposed on the widespread apocalyptic mood, largely due to the following factors:

• the increasing departure of the majority of the world's population from the traditional way of life with the transition to complete dependence on technical infrastructure, which occurred during the 20th century (including electricity, central heating and sewerage, tap water in everyday life, gasoline and other fuels, cars, airplanes , communications - including telephone, Internet, etc.);
• collapse of the USSR;
• distrust of the Russian authorities and the authorities of other countries of the world.

The “classical approach” to power supply implies that, for some reason, there will be a disruption in the normal operation of any infrastructure facilities and life support systems, which will cause a chain reaction, entailing the cessation of work and all others. Thus, in the book “Tsar Cold, or Why Russia is Freezing Out,” Sergei Kara-Murza and his co-author Sergei Telegin point out the possible danger of failure of heat supply systems as a result of unsuccessful reforms of the Russian housing and communal services.

Preparing for operation and running in the chainsaw

After purchasing a tool, you should pay attention to studying the manual, as well as familiarize yourself with the manufacturer’s recommendations for maintenance and operation of the unit. Then we proceed to assembling the chainsaw:

• Using a mounting wrench, unscrew the fastening nuts on the side of the housing and remove the protective casing;
• Remove the guide bar from the package and install its shank on the seat and on the splines;
• Place the saw chain on the drive sprocket and bar so that the cutting edges of the teeth face the direction of travel of the driven sprocket;
• Place the protective cover in place and secure it with the fastening nuts;
• By rotating the tension screw, adjust the chain tension so that none of the links sag under their own weight, and the chain itself rotates easily along the bar without locking or making any extraneous sounds.

The next step in preparing the Taiga chainsaw for operation is refueling both the engine and the automatic lubrication system:

• Prepare the fuel mixture at the rate of AI92-95 gasoline/engine oil = 1/25
• Let the engine run for 1-2 tanks at idle speed with periodic throttling for 30-35 seconds;
• Prepare new fuel in a ratio of 1/50;
• Use up 7-9 tanks of fuel in gentle mode. At this point, the engine run-in can be considered complete.
• At the first stage of engine break-in, pour chain oil into the tank of the automatic lubrication system and check its operation. A test for system functionality is carried out as follows: place a blank sheet of paper, start the engine and press the accelerator while holding the tire over the sheet. If drops of oil appear on the paper, you can finish the test - the system is operational and operating in standard mode.

Important: before operating the Taiga BP 3850 chainsaw, check its body for oil and gasoline leaks. In case of leakage, find the cause of the leak and eliminate it.

[edit] Prerequisites

The reasons that may lead to PD are usually assumed to be:

• technical wear and tear of infrastructure and life support facilities built back in Soviet times;
• sabotage or unexpected technical or natural disaster at major life support facilities or industrial facilities (power plants, industrial enterprises);
• loss of control over the situation by the authorities as a result of social unrest, etc.;
• military actions (including armed intervention (as was the case in Libya));
• oil shortage.

There are less than three points left before the start of the BP

On the night of October 1-2, 2020, exactly 24 hours passed since Iran demonstratively launched medium-range missiles, one of which reportedly fell near a US military base in the Syrian region of Al-Tanf. However, neither the White House nor the Pentagon have received any statements in this regard.

Hal Turner, who first raised the alarm https://thebigtheone.com/?p=2723, spent 24 hours sending official emails to the Pentagon and trying to contact his other sources in this organization in other ways. He never received an intelligible official answer https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news/world-news/3222-iran-launches-missiles-toward-us-base-in-syria, while others sources are silent.

On this apparently basis, Hal posted a warning on his website for readers https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/opinion-editorial/hal-turner-commentary/3223-if-you-need-firearms-ammunition-or- accessories-you-d-better-get-it-done-soon, in which it recommends once again checking your supplies of food, water, ammunition and other crisis ammunition. And we fully share his concern.

If Iran had fired ballistic missiles not even at Syria, but somewhere at its own test site a year ago, there would have been a howl to the skies and other political resonance in the press for several days. Israel would shout about the Iranian missile threat, Washington would make statements about the Iranian nuclear reactor, and so on. And then suddenly there was complete silence. And even more than that.

On October 1, The Wall Street Journal reports https://www.wsj.com/articles/on-iran-white-house-criticism-grows-but-us-military-posture-recedes-1538386200 that according to senior military officials recently the Pentagon sharply reduced its presence in the Persian Gulf. What lies behind this terse message? Let's explain.

In early September, the US Fifth Fleet was in the Persian Gulf with its flagship USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71). At the end of September, an amphibious group led by USS Essex (LHD-2) was heading to the Persian Gulf, where it was supposed to arrive there for test combat missions of the F-35.

However, the amphibious group was never spotted in the Persian Gulf, striking Afghanistan from the Arabian Sea. Therefore, the Pentagon could only reduce its aviation presence in the Gulf by withdrawing the USS Theodore Roosevelt from there, that is, the entire AUG. For what?

The only reason for the presence of the Fifth Fleet in the Persian Gulf is a demonstration of power to Iran and nothing more, since the width of the gulf is about 200 kilometers, that is, it is shot right through even by coastal missile batteries of the 1960s model. Therefore, if the United States ever decides to strike Iran, it will be done from the Arabian Sea, at a distance of about 1000 kilometers. So, if the AUG was withdrawn from the bay, it means the strike could be delivered at any moment.

And it is precisely this probability of events that makes us think about the disappearance of the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) from all services that report that CVN-71 is now, as it were, out of port.

The same story is now with the USS George Washington (CVN-73), which was last seen at the southern tip of Africa and since then there has been no word about the AUG. Has she gone to port or is she on duty in the Arabian Sea, awaiting connection with the main forces? It is no longer possible to find out from open sources.

However, the same open sources are in full swing discussing long-circulating rumors that Israel is preparing to launch a grandiose attack on military targets in Syria. At first the date was given as September 27, now they say “within a week,” but ignorance of the exact date of the operation of the strike itself does not negate:

https://twitter.com/russia_watch/status/1046416082163159041/photo/1

Russian military police in Damascus are preparing for possible Israeli air strikes...

Now let's see what is heard from the other side of the conflict.

To begin with, we note that the daily caravans of Il-76 transports from Mozdok to Khmeimim were replaced by caravans of An-124, of which five flights have already arrived today:

https://twitter.com/avischarf/status/1046618259678777344/photo/1

It’s difficult to say what flies on the An-124. The carrying capacity of the Il-76 is 60 tons, the carrying capacity of the An-124 is 120 tons, so most likely we are talking not about heavy, but about large-sized cargo. The IL-76 was initially designed so that any of the pieces of equipment in service with the ground forces could fit into it, so most likely we are talking about some kind of air defense systems of the latest generations and the latest modifications, the dimensions of which do not fit into the IL-76.

Further, on October 1, RBC reported that all-out exercises of the Civil Defense Ministry of Emergency Situations began in Russia “in case of sudden external aggression”:

https://www.rbc.ru/politics/01/10/2018/5bb1d5ff9a7947013d7e4d98?from=main

“The exercises will be held according to a scenario according to which the foreign policy situation in the country is deteriorating and a threat from a conditional external enemy appears. The organizers will practice actions to camouflage economic facilities in different regions, evacuate the population, etc. Federal and regional executive authorities of all Russian regions and departments of the Ministry of Emergency Situations will take part in the training.”

The fact that Civil Defense exercises, which had not been held for almost 30 years, have resumed in Russia is, of course, good news, since everyone needs to conduct exercises regularly. However, recently, exercises have somehow become significantly more frequent, and exercises with such an introductory concept as “protection from external aggression” have never been conducted before. Even people who lived during the Cuban missile crisis will not remember this kind of introduction.

And on the day the Civil Defense exercises begin, the military of the Southern Military District also begin exercises https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/5621948: “.... The main actions of the troops will take place in coastal, mountain-forested and steppe terrain in eight combined arms training grounds. Up to 7 thousand military personnel will take part in different stages of the tactical episodes, more than 2.5 thousand units of military equipment will be involved, including about 20 aircraft and more than 60 helicopters.”

Military exercises, like civil defense exercises, exercises of the Ministry of Emergency Situations, are also normal if not for a couple of things. Firstly, the exercises this fall have somehow become incredibly more frequent: as soon as some of them end, others immediately begin. Secondly, let’s look at the photos from the training grounds of the Southern Military District:

As you can see, all equipment taking part in the autumn exercises have so-called “invasion stripes”

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9F%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%8B_%D0%B2%D1%82%D0%BE%D1 %80%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D1%8F – elements of rapid visual identification of equipment used by armed forces in military conflicts to reduce the incidence of their destruction by their own troops. As a rule, rapid visual identification strips are used by various armed formations to distinguish their military equipment (aviation, armored vehicles) from that of the enemy. The last time Soviet tanks received such “stickers” en masse was in 1968 - during the entry of troops into Czechoslovakia.

What was the need to apply recognition stripes this time is a mystery to everyone at the moment, although different thoughts are being expressed - up to a possible clash between military districts. However, the general situation is obvious and unambiguous to everyone: one big war is about to begin in the world. And judging by the fact that world politicians have suddenly become silent and are not making any threatening or condemning statements, it is very likely that a war can start without notifying the world community in the press, start suddenly, spontaneously and at almost any moment.

source: https://thebigtheone.com/?p=2730

888…

“Signs and symbols rule the world, not words and laws” (Confucius is said to have said so).

Last night the price of Brent oil exceeded $85. I believe 88 is a few days away. And then - collapse and chaos in many respects.

To prevent this from happening, we do what we can. But... “there are few of us, there are hellishly few of us” (from “Juno and Maybe”).

Sergey Strannik

[edit] Preparing for BP

A widely discussed topic related to PD is the question of what you need to do to survive PD and minimize its consequences for yourself. Common options:

• do nothing, hoping that BP will not happen;
• stock up on various supplies that may be useful in the event of a BP;
• move to an autonomous settlement;
• expect a security crisis and, at the moment of its onset, join constructive forces (for example, the armed forces of the state);
• expect a BP and at the moment of its onset join destructive forces (for example, gangs of marauders);
• move for permanent residence to another state.

↑ Survival Story

This phenomenon is far from new. Since the early 50s, at the height of the Cold War, there was real hysteria in the United States about a possible nuclear conflict. Rich farmers and wealthy citizens dug anti-nuclear bunkers, stocked water, food, weapons, and fuel. A striking example of this behavior is the film “Tremors,” where the rich arsenal of the American survivalist Burt Gummer greatly helped the heroes in the battle with monsters. However, this is a unique (and fictitious) case. For the most part, all these shelters turned out to be completely unclaimed - essentially a waste of time and money. Some of them today house Cold War museums, but...

But the true American survivalist is not extinct today. It is still found much less frequently than half a century ago. As a rule, this is a person associated with weapons or a hunter. Gun collectors often become preppers. A prepper is a wealthy person; he can afford to spend a lot of money on his hobby.

In post-Soviet Russia, survival as a phenomenon appeared relatively recently. Some consider the reason for its appearance to be a certain increase in the welfare of the population. Indeed, when there is no money, you need to really survive, and not fantasize about hypothetical disasters. Russia of the 90s of the twentieth century remembers queues for bread, and empty store shelves, and the shelves of newfangled markets bursting with goods, which people went to like a museum because of empty pockets, and the indispensable stocks of flour, sugar, salt, cereals and pasta at home . The lack of light, gas, water, heat for the “civilized world” is exotic and a nightmare, for us it is a reality lived in sensations.

Currently, the phenomenon of survival is widespread in the world. In addition to Russia and the CIS, the community of survivalists includes residents of Germany, France, Israel, the USA and other countries where, in general, there are no particular reasons for panic yet. However, survival is an international phenomenon, and what's more, preppers from the United States and Europe are often leaders and mentors in the community. This is easy to explain if you consider that access to means of survival (which will be discussed below)

in such countries it is simplified to the limit. And the income, as they say, allows it.

[edit] Influence

The topic of PD turns out to be a good source for speculation and quarreling, this is due to the fact that in the public domain there is practically no and not systematized data from areas of knowledge that make it possible to predict the likelihood and timing of the onset of PD, and their interpretation would only be possible for qualified specialists (due to the complexity tasks and large amounts of data for analysis).

Revival among those waiting for BP and the appearance of many unfulfilled forecasts about the onset of BP cause any major disasters, for example:

• Accident at the Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectric power station,
• The sinking of the Deepwater Horizon drilling platform,
• Power outage in the Moscow region after freezing rain.

Many people associate the onset of BP with the end of the world, which the Mayan calendar records on December 21-22, 2012.

Since the trend now is to reduce the cost of production as much as possible, low-quality goods quickly reach the repairman’s door. When buying a computer (especially the first one), many choose the “most beautiful of the cheap” case with a built-in power supply - and many do not even know that such a device is there. This is a “hidden device” on which sellers save a lot. But the buyer will pay for the problems.

The main thing

Today we will touch on the topic of repairing computer power supplies, or rather their initial diagnostics. If there is a problematic or suspicious power supply, then it is advisable to carry out diagnostics separately from the computer (just in case). And this unit will help us with this:

The block consists of loads on lines +3.3, +5, +12, +5vSB (standby power). It is needed to simulate a computer load and measure output voltages. Since without load the power supply can show normal results, but under load many problems can appear.

Preparatory theory

We will load with anything (whatever you find on the farm) - powerful resistors and lamps.

I had 2 car lamps 12V 55W/50W lying around - two spirals (high/low beam). One spiral is damaged - we will use the second one. There is no need to buy them - ask your fellow motorists.

Of course, incandescent lamps have a very low resistance when cold - and when starting up they will create a large load for a short time - and cheap Chinese ones may not be able to withstand this - and will not start. But the advantage of lamps is their availability. If I can get powerful resistors, I’ll install them instead of lamps.

Resistors can be looked for in old devices (tube TVs, radios) with resistance (1-15 Ohms).

You can also use a nichrome spiral. Use a multimeter to select the length with the required resistance.

We will not load it to full capacity, otherwise we will end up with 450W in the air as a heater. But 150 watts will be fine. If practice shows that more is needed, we’ll add it. By the way, this is the approximate consumption of an office PC. And the extra watts are calculated along the +3.3 and +5 volt lines - which are little used - approximately 5 amperes each. And the label boldly says 30A, which is 200 watts that the PC cannot use. And the +12 line is often not enough.

For the load I have in stock:

• 3pcs resistors 8.2ohm 7.5w
• 3pcs resistors 5.1ohm 7.5w
• resistor 8.2ohm 5w
• 12v lamps: 55w, 55w, 45w, 21w

For calculations we will use formulas in a very convenient form (I have it hanging on the wall - I recommend it to everyone)

So let's choose the load:

+3.3V line - used mainly to power RAM - approximately 5 watts per stick. We will load at ~10 watts. Calculate the required resistor resistance

R=V2/P=3.32/10=1.1 Ohm we don’t have these, the minimum is 5.1 Ohm. We calculate how much it will consume P=V2/R=3.32/5.1=2.1W - not enough, you can put 3 in parallel - but we get only 6W for three - not the most successful use of such powerful resistors (25%) - and they will take up a lot of space . I’m not installing anything yet - I’ll look for 1-2 Ohms.

- +5V - little used these days. I looked at the tests - on average he eats 5A.

We will load at ~20 watts. R=V2/P=52/20=1.25 Ohm - also a low resistance, BUT we already have 5 volts - and even squared - we get a much larger load on the same 5 ohm resistors. 5.1 =4.9W – set 3 and we will have 15 W. You can add 2-3 on the 8th (they will consume 3W), or you can leave it like that.

— the +12V is the most popular. There is a processor, a video card, and some little gadgets (coolers, drives, DVDs).

We will load at as much as 155 watts. But separately: 55 for the motherboard power connector, and 55 (+45 through a switch) for the processor power connector. We will use car lamps.

— line +5 VSB – standby power.

We will load at ~5 watts. There is an 8.2 ohm 5w resistor, let's try it.

We calculate the power P=V2/R=52/8.2= 3 W , that’s enough.

- -12V – connect the fan here.

Chips

We will also add a small-sized 220V 60W lamp to the housing in the 220V network break. During repairs, it is often used to identify short circuits (after replacing some parts).

Assembling the device

Ironically, we will also use the case from a computer power supply (non-working).

We unsolder the sockets for the power connector of the motherboard and processor from the faulty motherboard. We solder the cables to them. It is advisable to choose colors as for the connectors from the power supply.

We are preparing resistors, lamps, ice indicators, switches and a connector for measurements.

We connect everything according to the scheme.. more precisely according to the VIP scheme

We twist, drill, solder - and you're done:

Everything should be clear by appearance.

Bonus

Initially I didn’t plan it, but for convenience I decided to add a voltmeter. This will make the device more autonomous - although during repairs the multimeter is still somewhere nearby. I looked at cheap 2-wire ones (which are powered by the measured voltage) - 3-30 V - just the right range. Simply by connecting to the measurement connector. But I had 4.5-30 V and I decided to install a 3-wire 0-100 V - and power it from charging a mobile phone (I also added it to the case). So it will be independent and show voltages from zero.

This voltmeter can also be used to measure external sources (battery or something else...) by connecting it to the measuring connector (if the multimeter is lost somewhere).

Face control

A few words about switches.

S1 – select the connection method: through a 220V lamp (Off) or directly (On). At the first start and after each soldering, we check it through a lamp.

S2 – 220V power is supplied to the power supply. The standby power should start working and the LED +5VSB should light up.

S3 – PS-ON is shorted to ground, the power supply should start.

S4 – 50W addition on the processor line. (50 is already there, there will be a 100W load)

SW1 – Use the switch to select the power line and check one by one if all voltages are normal.

Since our measurements are shown by a built-in voltmeter, you can connect an oscilloscope to the connectors for a more in-depth analysis.

By the way

A couple of months ago I bought about 25 PSUs (from a PC repair company that was closing). Half working, 250-450 watts. I bought them as guinea pigs for studying and attempting repairs. The load block is just for them.

That's all. I hope it was interesting and useful. I went to test my power supplies and wish you good luck!

Author - Rusu Vladislav

[edit] Links

• Anal occupation (BAO) is a term described in Wikireality, in relation to the Internet environment, something similar to BP, only on the scale of one Internet project.
• Ass-aholism - article in the Wikireality encyclopedia (about excessive pessimism up to the expectation of BP)